News & Insight Weekly Newsletters

02 June 2023 | William Buckhurst | Charlie Todd

That Was The Week That Was

MACRO

  • The US debt ceiling deal narrowly passes the Senate averting a catastrophic federal default
  • The non-farm payrolls data released on Friday showed that the US economy continues to defy expectations of a slowdown to add 339,000 jobs in May
  • A bigger than forecast drop in eurozone inflation in May pushed European yields lower over the week

COMPANY NEWS

  • Intel closed up on the week after updating its guidance. The company stated that it now expects Q2 revenue to come in at the upper end of its prior guidance and was now forecasting revenue of $12-$12.5bn, up from its prior guide of $11.5-$12.5bn
  • LuluLemon shares jumped as quarterly results showed that revenue rose 24% year-over-year to $2bn, reflecting growth driven by China, new categories and a new loyalty programme
  • In contrast, Dollar General, a retailer at the cheaper end of discretionary spend has a profit warning sending shares materially lower
  • UK veterinary pharmaceuticals company Dechra agreed to a £4.5bn buyout by Sweden’s EQT in one of the biggest UK private equity deals this year
  • Bloomsbury Publishing appears to be on a bit of a roll as it reported a rise in sales and profits and upgraded expectations for next year. “A paperback is much cheaper than even a one-month subscription to Netflix...”, said CEO Nigel Newton

SMALL CAP NEWS

A trading update from ITM Power. The shares clearly got ahead of themselves two years ago but with cash burn lower and higher revenue expected we wonder whether new CEO, Dennis Schulz is sculpting a special recovery.  They confirmed earnings guidance and reiterated that their 12-month plan is on track. Results are due in July

AI WATCH

“Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks, such as pandemics and nuclear war”.  Thus spoke 350 signatories to a one sentence manifesto published by the NFP Centre for AI Safety.  These included Bill Gates, Geoffrey Hinton, Sam Altman - CEO of OpenAI, Dustin Moskovitz - Co-Founder of Facebook, Shane Legg - founder of Google’s deepmind, Eric Horvitz - Chief Scientific Officer at Microsoft, Jaan Tallinn - co-founder of Skype, Michael Osborne - Professor of Machine Learning, University of Oxford and James Phillips - former Special Adviser to the UK Prime Minister for Science and Technology

The advertising giant WPP announced it has joined with Nvidia to use AI in the creation of bespoke visual advertising content. Able to create in minutes what has previously taken weeks to produce and tailor adverts to specific regions in seconds, the deal also addresses broader commercial concerns about AI ‘scraping’ the internet for information and images. Getty Images will partner with WPP to ensure that copyright is not infringed. We wonder whether S4 Capital (Sir Martin Sorrell’s new company) whose biggest client is Alphabet will come up with something similar? In further Nvidia news, the company’s market cap passed $1trn

THIS WEEK IN HISTORY

1933: The Securities Act was passed into law to protect investors after the stock market crash of 1929. The legislation had two main goals: to ensure more transparency in financial statements so investors could make informed decisions about investments; and to establish laws against misrepresentation and fraudulent activities in the securities markets

2009:  General Motors files for bankruptcy. After years of struggling to stay afloat, the 2008 recession was the final nail in GM’s coffin, as out-of-control costs and pension liabilities had plagued the company for years

IN OTHER NEWS

Following recent visits to Shanghai by both Elon Musk of Tesla and Tim Cook of Apple, last week saw JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon hosting a high profile conference in Shanghai (attendees included Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer and Laxman Narasimhan, CEO of Starbucks) aiming to reinforce US commercial commitment to the country, despite his government’s best efforts to continue to reduce their dependency on China

MARKET DATA

% returns

1 Week

1 Month

1 Year

5 Years

UK Equities (% return)

-0.26

-2.13

0.99

-1.23

World Equities (% return)

-0.06

1.47

1.45

38.41

10 Year US Treasury Yield (%)

3.70

3.44

2.92

2.94

GBP / USD (fx rate)

1.25

1.25

1.26

1.33

 As at 2nd June 2023. Source: FactSet

 

This publication has been produced by Vermeer Investment Management Limited (VIM) trading as Vermeer Partners. It is provided for information purposes only. VIM makes no express or implied warranties and expressly disclaims all warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use with respect to any data included in this publication. VIM will not treat unauthorised recipients of this publication as its clients. Prices shown are indicative and VIM is not offering to buy or sell or soliciting offers to buy or sell any financial instrument. Without limiting any of the foregoing and to the extent permitted by law, in no event shall VIM, nor any of its officers, directors, partners, or employees, have any liability for (a) any special, punitive, indirect, or consequential damages; or (b) any lost profits, lost revenue, loss of anticipated savings or loss of opportunity or other financial loss, even if notified of the possibility of such damages, arising from any use of this publication or its contents. Other than disclosures relating to VIM, the information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources that VIM believes to be reliable, but VIM does not represent or warrant that it is accurate or complete. VIM is not responsible for, and makes no warranties whatsoever as to, the content of any third-party website referred to herein or accessed via a hyperlink in this publication and such information is not incorporated by reference. The views in this publication are those of the author(s) and are subject to change. VIM has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the client who receives it. Any securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. VIM recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of and income from any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. This material has been issued and approved for distribution in the UK by VIM. ©2023 Vermeer Investment Management Limited. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or redistributed in any manner without the prior written permission of VIM. VIM is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 710280) and is incorporated in England and Wales (company number: 09081916).

Back to News & Insights